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From the latest Slidell,LA Discussion. THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN AND ENHANCE ITS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS PER IR SATELLITE IMAGERY...HOWEVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO REMAIN DETACHED FROM THE MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AT THE PRESENT TIME. AS A DEEP HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM...CAUSING TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD...AND A MID-LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 30E/60W MAINTAIN THEIR HOLD...IT WOULD SEEM THAT THE SYSTEM WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF. AT THE PRESENT TIME...INVEST TRACKS AND MODELS SHOW THAT THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS SOUTHERLY COURSE...BUT WITHOUT A CENTER TO INITIALIZE ON...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR ANY MODEL TO MAINTAIN MUCH ACCURACY. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY...THOUGH HAS REVEALED THAT THE LOW IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS SINKING SOUTHWARD...WHICH INCREASES CONFIDENCE THAT GUIDANCE IS ON TRACK. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDLIX&max=61 |