danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Tue Jul 06 2010 06:26 PM
96L

From the latest Slidell,LA Discussion.

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
NEAR THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN AND
ENHANCE ITS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS PER IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY...HOWEVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO REMAIN
DETACHED FROM THE MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AT THE PRESENT TIME. AS A
DEEP HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM...CAUSING TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT ACROSS THE
EASTERN SEABOARD...AND A MID-LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 30E/60W
MAINTAIN THEIR HOLD...IT WOULD SEEM THAT THE SYSTEM WILL STAY TO
OUR SOUTH AND WEST AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF.
AT THE PRESENT TIME...INVEST TRACKS AND MODELS SHOW THAT THE
SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS SOUTHERLY COURSE...BUT WITHOUT A CENTER
TO INITIALIZE ON...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR ANY MODEL TO MAINTAIN
MUCH ACCURACY. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY...THOUGH HAS REVEALED
THAT THE LOW IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS SINKING SOUTHWARD...WHICH
INCREASES CONFIDENCE THAT GUIDANCE IS ON TRACK.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDLIX&max=61