It looks like the SAL is retrograding north. There was that big 'puff' but it seems to be weaker now. The wave that came off recently has retained more of its convection that most which looked good then fizzled when over water. This wave also looks like it has a nice moisture envelope around it as well. I think it waited just long enough to let the SAL get ahead of it. There is another impressive wave behind it at a relatively higher latitude. We shall see if that holds together as well. Just a note as to how busy the season is...in 2005 we had already had Dennis and Emily (which was a Cat5 at one point), so its hardly the busiest start we've seen. That said things can ramp up quickly