berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Jul 22 2010 05:17 AM
Re: July 22-00Z Model Package - Invest 98L

Invest 98L continues to organize and is a better candidate to become a tropical depression. That said, the upper air environment will drive this system directly into the NE MEX coast and is no threat to the United States.

There is an upper ridge directly over Alabama this evening and will continue to build over the Atlantic Ocean with Invest 97L and inverted upper level shortwave/low moving west and west-northwest under the ridge with models depicting LA as "landfall." These two features will force 98L northwest.

The good news...the system won't be over water long enough to become serious.



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