danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Fri Jul 23 2010 05:35 AM
Re: Thoughts on Tropical Storm Bonnie

Based on the location of the last 2 center fixes by RECON. It appears that the center of Bonnie will pass just south of the mainland. This would place Bonnie on a track over the Keys and over the Florida Straits.
In other words Bonnie would be passing over the Gulf Stream for a longer period of time than if she were to pass over the mainland. Window of possible/ probable intensification would be longer.