Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Fri Jul 23 2010 06:08 PM
Re: Thoughts on Tropical Storm Bonnie

Convection is there but it appears well west of surface center.... which is kinda becoming broader as we go into time.... Shear is winning the battle right now... appears it not just Upper level shear... maybe some mid level winds in and around 18kft and higher... coming in from the NE over much part of the eastern side of bonnie. In the sats... theres upper level shear screaming to the NW over the Key West. Very unique setup... If Bonnie survives... it will need to get into the GOM soon and get storms flaring up again... trying to beat the shear is the short term... i don't see it happening this afternoon

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satmaster.pl?Carribbean

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satmaster.pl?Florida


**interesting the second vortex fix was done over land by the Air Force before they departed and went home** Do you still drop a GPS dropsonde over land?


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