| JoshuaK |
| (Weather Guru) |
| Sun Jul 25 2010 03:14 AM |
Re: Maybe I'm all wet
|
The remnant CoC is coming onshore right now right where the Mississippi River Delta meets the GoM.
As for the Caribbean Activity, it seems there are several factors associated with the convection glob south of Cuba. I think its best described as from this snippet of the 8:05 PM EDT NHC Discussion;
Quote:
THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
TO THE SOUTH OF 26N TO THE WEST OF 60W...
AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 22N77W.
A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 22N77W CENTER TO 15N80W. UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC FLOW IS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS...TO THE SOUTH OF
27N BETWEEN 70W AND 84W. CYCLONIC FLOW ALSO COVERS THE CARIBBEAN
SEA FROM 16N TO CUBA AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BETWEEN THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COVER CUBA FROM EAST TO WEST..AND FROM 17N TO 18N
BETWEEN 81W AND 83W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 24N73W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN...CROSSING EASTERN CUBA TO 19N77W. NUMEROUS
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN
79W AND 81W...TO THE SOUTH OF THE BASE OF THE 22N77W 15N80W
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN
A LINE FROM EASTERN HONDURAS TO SOUTH CENTRAL NICARAGUA. STRONG
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM SOUTHWESTERN HONDURAS...
ACROSS EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA AND EVENTUALLY
MEXICO TO THE SOUTH OF 18N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. ALL THIS
PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING IN BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 24N67W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. WEAK MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO
THE EAST OF 65W...POSSIBLY CONNECTED TO THE 24N67W-PUERTO RICO
TROUGH. THESE TROUGHS/AREAS OF CYCLONIC FLOW ARE TO THE EAST
AND/OR SLIGHTLY ON TOP OF THE 20N63W 11N67W TROPICAL WAVE.