I am a new poster here (but an avid reader for the last two tropical seasons). First off, thanks to everyone here for the great coverage, comments and calm analysis. I enjoy having a trusted resource such as this (being a relative noob to tropical weather events).

I have been following some threads over at Weather Underground and I have to say the commentary there is all over the map with this season's forecasts. It seems quiet now but what is the consensus here regarding the latest wave off coast of Africa that some of the models are forecasting to develop quite aggressively in the next few days? I have not seen that discussion here and frankly, I trust this groups collective intelligence more than some of the other alarmist discussion groups on other sites. I am hoping the quiet lasts a little longer and the projection of 19 named systems is over-forecast. -Chris