I dont see this as a fish spinner right now, but the intensity gains in the next 48hrs will be critical. A stronger storm will stay further south because it will further split the trough. A weak system tends to get sucked north (I know this is counter to what you would normally think with strong storms moving more poleward). Dry air could be a problem but there is an upper high giving outflow support if it can generate some convection. Key West to the Outer Banks are all fair game at this point so stay tuned and stay informed. I still think the 2pm (est) model runs will move left.