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Right now TD 4 is a small system and will continue on its WNW motion for awhile. The weakness isnt there yet and it will move probably close to the eastern Bahamas in 5 days. We don't know how strong this trough coming off the coast will be during the weekend. Usually they are overdone. The models will go back and forth until they come into agreement on the midlevel flow off the SE US in the next couple of days. A weaker system in the near term will move thru the NE Lessar Antilles while a stronger system will brush them to its north in 3 days. |