Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Mon Aug 02 2010 08:26 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4 Forms in Central Atlantic

It appears that NHC hopes to schedule a mission out of St. Croix, U.S.V.I. on Tuesday evening.
"SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV
SURVEILLANCE MISSION OUT OF TISX AROUND CENTRAL
ATLANTIC SYSTEM FOR 04/0000Z IF IT DEVELOPS."

The system is moving so fast to the west northwest (indeed at about 285 degrees) that finding a center is indeed a challenge. At 19Z a rough centerpoint location for the cyclone was 13.0N 42.8W - that translates to a forward speed of about 25mph.

One short comment: Mike is the one that has kept the site going - the rest of us are just here to lend a hand. Now I'll put on my 'stern Mod' hat and request that we stay on topic.

With a good likelyhood that the fast forward motion will continue for a few days, intensification is going to be difficult to achieve. That fact alone is probably going to motivate track guidance adjustments to the left.
ED



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