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Upper level westerly windshear has exposed the low-level circulation of ex-Colin near 23.5N 65.2W at 05/13Z moving to the north. While the circulation does appear closed on satellite (similar to yesterday evening), all of the convection has been displaced to the east by the windshear. Some intensification seems likely once the system moves north of the shear zone, but the more northerly turn is a good indicator that the system will remain at sea as indicated by various model outputs. ED |