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It looks like conditions for 92L are becoming more favorable, but it is nearing land. Something would have to start happening fast for 92L to develop before hitting land. We have an ULL over the BOC?Western GOM and it doesn't seem to be in much of a hurry to get out of the way. Dry air is prevalent to the East of 92L, but 92L has blossomed somewaht today in a favorable are in the W Carribean. A ridge is present there, and conditions appear fine; but the TS activity isn't that great, yet. There does seem to be some cyclonic twisting indicated on the visible satellite loops. I think the likelehood of something developing is improving, but not to the "orange" level yet. |