Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Sun Aug 08 2010 06:48 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast

I think perhaps you meant to say east? There is a mid-level low off the east coast of Florida and prior to some convective buildup a weak low level center of circulation was attempting to form at 08/21Z near 27.9N 80.1W - which would be about 30 to 35 miles just south of due east of Melbourne. The mid-level system has been moving south southwest (about 210 degrees) at 7 knots all day. Early model projections move the hybrid system across the peninsula and into the northern Gulf of Mexico, however the entire trough is rather complex. At the same time today a second counterclockwise spin was noted near 26N 83.5W in the Gulf - not all that uncommon for a weak potential development area. The best early model solutions based on current and past movement appear to be the BAMD and (surprisingly) the CMC. NHC does note that when the system gets into the Gulf there is some potential for it to acquire tropical characteristics.
ED



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