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Checking recon observations during this flight dew points have been rising and the continuing convection is really looking 'warm core'. The ULL is not on top of this system nor does it look like it will be. I think this is in the final phase of transition to purely tropical as it does not have have many 'subtropical' characteristics to account for creation of new convection. Also, it is over very warm water at great depths. I hope recon makes another pass south to see if DPs are indeed still rising |