MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Tue Aug 10 2010 06:13 PM
Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize

It doesn't look like an upgrade will happen today, tomorrow is the best shot, maybe earlier if warning pressure is put on them, but it still has quite a ways to go to develop, it's got a center of circulation, so it's just a matter of time. The upper low is keeping it on the weak side. If there is a big convective blow up they may upgrade it tonight, and convection needs to be better aligned/stacked.

Odds are still in favor it'll be a Tropical/Subtropical Storm heading into Louisiana.
Tutt's and upper level lows have been a big hamper this year in development so far.

The MJO Setup makes it highly likely won't see any major hurricanes until next month.