berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Aug 11 2010 05:32 PM
Re: Nothing Happening Yet

This tropical depression is on borrowed time and looking at the wind shear analysis this morning; it's dead on arrival on the LA coast assuming it last that long. There's nothing I've looked at today that makes me believe one, this system is tropical and two, if subtropical then the worse weather will be occurring now as the center is devoid of thunderstorm activity with the strongest convection well to the SE of the CoC closer to SW FL.

Looking at 93L...there's a bullseye of 30 knots of shear just ahead of it and a blob of thunderstorm activity to its SW right on the edge of this isotach. Frankly 93L looks as if it's a Tropical Depression and it isn't.



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