berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 13 2010 08:45 PM
Attachment
TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM?

All kidding aside; time to take TD5 Remnants more serious....Marine Weather Discussion and models have the system returning to the GOM next week and are now hinting at the possibility of redevelopment with a track once again to the west across the northern portion of the GOM. Models are all over the place in regards to how strong the remnants are likely to become; GFS being much, much stronger at 96 hours and the ECMWF having the system remaining weak.

Stu Ostro made a pretty darn good case for the remnants of TD5 in fact being a depression (on his Facebook page) as it stalled just SE of LA and S of MS with radar having convective bands almost completely wrapping around the low level center Thursday morning.

Depending on how far the system re-emerges into the GOM will go a long way determining if the models verify and to what degree the system can be classified a depression or storm next week.




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