Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sun Aug 15 2010 02:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?

Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water....

Looking at the satellite loops, the convection is growing around the remnants of TD 5 at an alarming rate very near to the coast. The LLC is still over land, but it's headed for the northeast Gulf, and while there's no convection near the LLC right now, the actual spin looks intact. It would not surprise me for it to be bumped up to code orange at 2pm. Heck, it looks better right now - with the LLC over land! - than it did for the last 12-24 hours when it was over the eastern Gulf before the recon couldn't locate a LLC. I almost got caught in the rain yesterday from this system - it was just light sprinkles when I was out and about but for a brief period of time there was a heavy downpour.

Regardless of whether the NHC decides to re-pull the trigger and call this thing TD 5 again, it's going to be a wet week along the Gulf coast.



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