Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun Aug 15 2010 04:53 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?

18Z data had

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1750 UTC SUN AUG 15 2010

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE FIVE (AL052010) 20100815 1800 UTC
..........


...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.3N LONCUR = 84.9W DIRCUR = 180DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 32.3N LONM12 = 85.1W DIRM12 = 157DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 33.0N LONM24 = 85.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



those interested... here's today HRD discussion from 2010 IFEX Field Program Director...
http://noaahrd.wordpress.com/2010/08/15/forecast-and-mission-science-discussion-aug-15-2010/


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