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It's important to note that the track forecast Danielle's apparent westward jog was due to a recenter (with new microwave imagery) and not to more westerly movement. I think it has a good shot at becoming a major, but odds highly favor it moving north and out to sea well before any land areas. The area in the Gulf needs a lot more time for development, and the area east of Danielle is going to face a rough time developing until later in the week, if it does at all. It has a 40% chance or so. |