|
|
|||||||
With Earl possibly speeding up, there would seem to be reasonable logic that interaction with Danielle "infused" W. Atlantic trough is all the more likely to occur. That and a stronger consensus of model support certainly makes for a compelling assumption that Earl will likely begin to re-curve prior to reaching the Lesser Antilles. Baring any unforeseen ridging that might expand westward from the Central Atlantic, it would seem rather unlikely that Earl would not gain at least a few degrees latitude prior to reaching 60 west. Given the appearant long range 500mb as depicted by today's Euro and GFS, I still believe that Earl does possess a greater risk of getting caught under a sprawling Eastern U.S. ridge, than our next invest south of the Cape Verde Islands. At least for now, long range maps would seem to indicate adequate troughing over the Eastern U.S. at that time, and thus potentially posing a seemingly lessor threat unless such a system were to travel westward at a very low latitude. |