Earl "may" be slowing down a tad; whether be it a start of a bend more to the WNW or perhaps simply an effect of further organization and a deepening phase. Looks like the impressive bursting of convection might just cause a vorticity max. to rotate around the east and north side later tonight, thus possibly helping to gain a tad more latitude. Certainly nervous hours ahead this evening for those in the Islands ( St. Croix included ). Does anyone know if the data that today's recon missions have/are receiving, will be ingested into this evening 0Z run or if more likely to be ingested into later runs this evening?

On a seperate note, 97L is really convecting this evening and overall shape improving. Would not surprise me if we have a depression by daylight ( or even possibly skip right to Fiona? )