danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Mon Aug 30 2010 03:57 PM
Earl oops

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
233 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2010

VALID AUG 30/1200 UTC THRU SEP 03/0000 UTC

...HURRICANE EARL...

PREFERENCE: NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST

ON WED THROUGH THURS... THE 12Z NAM AND GFS ARE BOTH TRENDING
SLOWER WITH EARL. THE NAM IS SHOWING MORE OF A SOUTH AND WEST
DISPLACEMENT WITH THE TRACK... WHILE THE GFS IS VERY CONSISTENT ON
THE FCST TRACK. THERE STILL REMAINS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD WITH
THIS FEATURE... ESPECIALLY THE FORWARD PROGRESSION. HPC HIGHLY
RECOMMENDS FOLLOWING THE LATEST FCST GUIDANCE FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER CONCERNING EARL.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdhmd.html


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