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Latest recon pass shows pressure up 4mb from late last night. However, while San Juan radar still shows the 16NM eyewall somewhat intact, recon reported the eye size at 30NM, indicating the ERC is well underway. IR shows the eye now occluded, likely a result of the ERC. Probably another 6 hours for the ERC cycle to wrap up and the storm to start strengthening again. NHC reported that it would be entering less hospitable conditions in around 12-24 hours, so it looks like the ERC will finish fast enough to be done prior to those conditions, which is good for the hurricane (and not so good for those of us not liking the track of the hurricane). |