| Bloodstar |
| (Moderator) |
| Tue Aug 31 2010 05:06 PM |
|
Re: I'm watching Earl and what appears to be a cutoff low
|
Quote:
In response to your analysis - the latest NGP run reflects on Fiona stalling and looping off the FL Coast at 6 and 7 days out. This seems to be a direct result of Earl "cleaning" things out and leaving little in his path to steer Fiona. Thoughts?
Personally, I can't imagine Fiona stalling and looping right now, While steering currents may weaken in a short term, I think the model in question has kinda missed with the latest run. If other models start picking the idea of a stall or loop, then it could be worth looking into.
Now mind you, we are looking at a steering environment made more complicated by a major hurricane. So the models may have more trouble handling a vastly stronger storm relatively close to a weaker one. The models may handle it fine, but it's worth keeping in mind for each run.