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Just a few notes this morning. Earl: 1. Earl is currently down to a Category 3 as of the 5am update. 2. Earl's pressure is currently 943mb per Dropsonde at 11:32 GMT (7:32 EDT), up slightly but not significantly. 3. Earl's IR appearance looks to be improving steadily. Fiona: 1. Fiona is down to 998mb per Vortex Recon and Dropsonde at 11:30 GMT (7:30 EDT). This is a 8mb drop in an hour and a quarter from the 10:15 GMT Dropsonde and Vortex Recon, but only a 3mb drop over the past 5 hours based on other Dropsondes and Vortex Recons. 2. The distance between Earl and Fiona is increasing, which should allow Fiona to stop experiencing such strong negative effects due to Earl, which may allow it to strengthen a little. Invest 98L: 1. Edit: As of 8am update, Invest 98L now has an 80% chance of development by NHC. Original Update: Invest 98L has been raised to a 50% development change by NHC, up from a 10% chance last night. |