That front is moving very slowly. It will move but I don't think it's moving as fast as the models had figured. I had heard somewhere ....and sorry don't remember which email .... that the models were not handling the size and intensity of Earl. I am not sure what that means but any deviation extrapolated over time is serious.

Also, dynamics within the structure of the eyewall and inner bands has changed the size of the Storm and the size (not strength) is expanding, almost from my perspective in anticipation of when it will go extratropical and merge with the front... also a higher lat signature.

On the left side of the storm there is a strong band of strong hurricane force winds far from the center and every mile it stays east of OBX will make a big difference in dollar amount and time to recover from any effects.

Can look on any loop and see that front is moving very slowly.