Quote:
On Sept. 5th Mr. Dunham wrote a nice piece on how it looked like conditions were that we might hit a lull during the peek of what was forecasted to be a busy season.
Since his blog, we have had two named storms and it's just Sept. 8th.
Early in June and July many of us felt we were on the verge of having several tropical systems to track; however, only one in June and one in July came to fruition. It seemed no matter how warm the waters were and how light the sheer was, it was hard to get things to pop.
Now we see the opposite in a sense. conditions aren't ideal, but a system in the GOM took off quickly, and one in the Far East Atlantic just became Igor. It seems climatology is a huge factor.
So much for the lull.
Let's hope the season continues as we've seen and all the major storms follow the central Atlantic path.
Isn't it funny some people seem to think they have it all figured out. The conditions are perfect ( no wind shear, warm water) and then the second something forms and it has a hard time getting going then that is when they realized the conditions weren't so perfect. Nobody has a clue what the conditions are until the storm is out there. Gaston was a perfect example of that.
|
Re: Interesting how climatology seems to matter.