berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Sat Sep 25 2010 02:49 PM
Re: Matthew To Stay Inland

Quote:

Truly. About as slow a "death" as that of Tropical Storm Hermine (2010) or Tropical Storm Erin (2007).

Just imagine what Matthew would be doing right now had this landmass not be in the way.

The most recent enhanced IR images show Matthew with still very cold cloud tops as he continues to be a reasonably symmetric, extremely well-ventilated and very moisture-laden tropical cyclone.

20100925.0315.goes13.x.ir1km.15LMATTHEW.50kts-998mb

Image credit: NRL




Karl traversed the same neck of the woods and held itself together quite well over land. We can't dismiss the pattern in the region with overall low pressure due to the monsoon and what mets refer to as the MJO, the Madden Julian Oscillation. You can learn more about the MJO if you have a bottle of aspirin nearby at Wikipedia. As I posted a moment ago, it is not clear in the long ranges if "Nicole" will emerge from this mess or Matthew which for now the models are handling.



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