berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Sep 29 2010 12:30 PM
Re: TD16 - Subtropical?

I can't find the surface center. There is some rotation over the Lower Keys but as of this hour the upper low and long wave trough are now over at least one-half of the overall circulation and what is advertised as the center. Wind Shear analysis confirms 20 knots over the NHC center and 30 knots from the Western tip of Cuba across the lower Keys to Naple FL to Melbourne, FL. At 5 pm this may go down as one of the shortest named systems. I don't doubt there's a broad circulation; however the 11 am advisory did relocate the center along the south coast whereas the 5 am advisory had the center on the north coast and about to emerge over the Florida Straits.


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