Full latitude trough is beginning to encroachi on Tomas outer west circulation. The upper level environment over Tomas is as good as its going to get with an upper ridge axis centered near the SA coast to its south and decreasing shear tendencies to its north. For the past 48 hours the NOGAP has been consistent with Tomas becoming decoupled and other models are now joining it with this scenario, however it doesn't appear its low level remnant will in time move back to the southwest and dissipate in the open AO.
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Re: Tomas Getting Stronger