NOAA has updated their forecast numbers for the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

..."Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA is predicting the following ranges this year:

12 to 18 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which:

6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including:

3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)

Each of these ranges has a 70 percent likelihood, and indicate that activity will exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. .."

NOAA hurricane outlook indicates an above-normal Atlantic season

More information here on the reasoning for the increase in possible storms during the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast.
NOAA 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Issued: 19 May 2011

(Credit: NOAA)

For the potential area in the Southwestern Caribbean, please see the forecast lounge. The lounge is our area to discuss storms without having to be strict about speculation rules.

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