WesnWylie
(Weather Guru)
Wed Jun 01 2011 01:28 PM
Re: The 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins Today

Thanks. I think it may have been TS Andrea that I was remembering. I am looking at the vis. satellite loop, and 93L still looks fairly organized for just a tropical disturbance. I think it may hold together (at least somewhat) when it enters the GOM this evening. I have seen weirder things happen before.

BTW, Recon will fly into 93L tomorrow at 1800z (1:00 P.M. CDT), if necessary.

UPDATE: Actually, I was thinking of Tropical Depression 5 of 2010. It never did become a system. It was on the verge of becoming a tropical storm but never made it before moving inland. I remember that the NHC only had it tagged with a 20% chance of development, but within 12 hours, they raised it to like 80%. (OK. Now I can sleep tonight. )



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