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94L certainly looks much more disorganized today than it did yesterday. Not much of a LL center south of Grand Cayman, and there seems to be a mid-level vortex near 15N; 79W. The 0600 GFDL still develops a strong TD/weak TS and moves it into the eastern GoM on Friday/Saturday while the NGP moves a weak to moderate low across Florida. The GFS dissipates the system pretty much in place and the HWRF still moves a system NE into the Atlantic. The CMC splits between the NGP and the HWRF models. As it appears this morning, I'm beginning to believe the GFS is closer to being correct. |