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Yep, guess I'd have to "second" Michael's prior post, on both accounts. 94L has pretty much appeared to have wound down from yesterday, and at least to me appears to be a lazy broad eddy within a generally larger monsoonal low. Looking at "back to back" GFS runs, it would appear that 94L may simply continue to drift westward with the low level flow, and simply cease to exist as an invest. Looking at this morning's 200mb -350mb winds, I see upper air conditions appearing to deteriorate in less than 48 hours. In what oddly would appear to be strengthening "El Nino" like sub tropical westerlies, very little "real estate" throughout the tropics would appear to look all too conducive for any significant development over the near term. Worse part is that we here in S. Florida ( not unlike many other areas as well ), may not even benefit from much of the moisture of 94L.
Actually as you can see the NHC said what I said 1 hour later.. .probably cause I know some of the staff there? Anyways.. yesterday it wasnt as good as today. It was far away from the convection and yesterday you were seeing the midlevel swirl.
Tropical systems are all about the convection near a LLC.
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