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Invest 94L still has a long way to go before it can be considered as a tropical cyclone. Since the 18Z development probability upgrade to 50 percent, the convection has been on the wane again. Very early this morning three separate low to mid-level circulations were evident within the larger envelope of cyclonic turning. Convective outflow boundary collisions have altered the convective pattern throughout the day with some areas on the decrease while other areas were developing - but the total pattern really hasn't changed all that much. One correction: Pressure has actually remained steady today - at 1140Z the central pressure was estimated at 1006MB and at 1837Z it was still 1006MB. ED |