doug
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Jul 07 2011 11:27 AM
Re: SE GOM

I was just about to comment that a vortex may be near 25N/85/W as there is low level cyclonic movement in the rain pattern, and the upper level water vapor is showing a suspicious signature, even on the east side of the ULL center. This set up is not conducive for development or much intensification due to upper level shear from the ULL. The NHC has been tracking a surface trough (wave), but my thought was the distrubed weather on the east side of the ULL was diffluent flow between the ULL and the higher pressure to its east. Certainly a weak low level circulation will enhance instability and increase rain chances across the peninsula for which we all will be grateful, however.


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