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MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. (edited~danielw) ...THE RIDGE WILL BE REINFORCED BY STRONGER HIGH PRES OFF THE MID-ATLC COAST THAT BEGINS TO BUILD SW ACROSS N FLORIDA AND INTO THE NE GULF THROUGH...AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE WEAKENING AS A TROUGH E OF CENTRAL FLORIDA AND DRIFTS WESTWARD... ...AS FOR THE FORECAST...THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL GRADUALLY LOSE ITS IDENTITY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT PUSHES BACK TO THE N. THE RIDGE WILL LIFT SLIGHTLY NWD THROUGH THU. THE LOW IS FORECAST BY THE DYNAMICAL MODELS TO MOVE S THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO TRACK MORE TO THE W AND NW MON AND MON NIGHT AND TURN NE TUE BEFORE LOSING ITS IDENTITY OVER THE FAR NW PORTION. THE HURRICANE BAM MODELS TAKE THE LOW MORE TO THE SW AND W TOWARDS CENTRAL FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. WILL FORECAST LOW TO APPROACH THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST THROUGH MON NIGHT INTO TUE...THEN CARRY A TROUGH FEATURE EXTENDING TO PART OF CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER TUE INTO WED. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THIS FEATURE TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED FOR ANY POSSIBLE NEW INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM... Marine Weather Discussion from NHC |