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At 2PM the National Hurricane Center upgraded chances of 98L to 40% for development within the next 48 hours, and recon aircraft currently is near the west coast of Florida and heading toward the system. The system is looking impressive on visible satellite, but not so much on the infrared as it is losing some convection there. Dry air is approaching the central Florida area, and may help keep the system weak This may keep it holding the rest of the day. More should be known when recon reaches the area. |