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Quote: 996mb gives a Max Possible Intensity of 79 mph under ideal conditions. Bret doesn't appear to be under ideal conditions, but the conditions are improving. July 18th is a bit early for a Hurricane. And in close proximity to land. URNT12 KNHC 182041 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL022011 A. 18/19:29:50Z B. 28 deg 09 min N 077 deg 04 min W C. 850 mb 1406 m D. 60 kt-- estimated surface wind speed E. 271 deg 11 nm F. 005 deg 53 kt G. 269 deg 10 nm H. 997 mb I. 16 C / 1530 m J. 21 C / 1522 m K. 15 C / NA L. OPEN N-E-S M. C18- eye diameter( elliptical at this time ) N. 12345 / 8 O. 0.02 / 3 nm P. AF307 0302A BRET OB 04 MAX FL WIND 53 KT W QUAD 19:26:30Z MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 62 KT SE QUAD 19:39:10Z |