PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
954 AM EDT MON AUG 01 2011 (edited~danielw)

VALID 12Z FRI AUG 05 2011 - 12Z MON AUG 08 2011

...THE MODELS ARE ALSO STRUGGLING TO RESOLVE A POTENTIAL TROPICAL
SYSTEM ORIGINATING FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY IN THE
VICINITY OF 55-60W LONGITUDE.

OPERATIONAL MODEL TRACKS RANGE FROM
THE CENTRAL GULF IN THE 00Z UKMET TO E OF THE FL PENINSULA IN THE
00Z GFS/ECMWF.

YESTERDAYS NHC/HPC COORDINATED TRACK TO THE E OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY DAY 6 SUN IS NOW EASTWARD OF THE CURRENT MODEL ENVELOPE.

PREFER TO AWAIT TODAYS 17Z COORDINATION FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES... WITH THE UPDATED PRELIM FORECAST DEPICTING ONLY A MODEST
WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT BETWEEN CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF ALONG WITH
STRENGTH SIMILAR TO CONTINUITY.
CONSULT THE LATEST NHC TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR FURTHER INFO REGARDING THIS FEATURE.