danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Mon Aug 01 2011 02:51 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion

At this time it doesn't appear the Recon will be able to close off a circulation. They have made a full pass through the system from NW to SE.
Wind direction and speed data have a trough like appearance, so far. Recon is headed back toward the NW, and what would be the center of the current system.

Latest point:
Time: 18:45:00Z
Coordinates: 14.7N 59.5833W
Acft. Static Air Press: 975.8 mb (~ 28.82 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 287 meters (~ 942 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1008.3 mb (~ 29.78 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 99° at 19 knots (From the E at ~ 21.8 mph)
Air Temp: 23.7°C (~ 74.7°F)
Dew Pt: 16.4°C (~ 61.5°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 21 knots (~ 24.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 24 knots (~ 27.6 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 2 mm/hr (~ 0.08 in/hr)



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