weathernet
(Storm Tracker)
Tue Aug 02 2011 08:16 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean

Looking at this morning's imagary, I could not help but worry that the center might be farther back and closer to ( or under ) the newly bursting convection. In fact, as of 8:00am NHC put out an intermediate that recon has relocated the center to 15.3N and 63.7W. Though reports still claim unorganized, I cannot help but perceive that Emily may now be getting more organized. Despite a possible entrainment of dryer air and some shear at the 300mb level, upper 200mb level outflow looks fairly impressive in nearly all quadrants. Whether or not the system might be becoming more vertically stacked, might also suggest a more right bias with regards to overall motion. The BAMS and BAMM might be then less considered. One thing seems evident, and that is that the overall environment seems to be moistening up.


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