(Weather Master)

Tue Aug 02 2011 01:23 PM

Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean

Emily looks a lot better than 24hrs ago. Some under cutting Atlantic Basin (I call it) shear at the 300mb levels but she has plenty of moisture to work with right now compared to 1 day ago.

Models though are backing away on development.. especially GFS.

I agree that what she does over the next 24hrs in intensity could determine
her movement in the carribean. Stronger system will begin to move more WNW then
NW into Hispaniola.. a more weaker TS or trough will move towards Jamaica-Cuba and
models seem to shear this out.

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