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Unless we get an exact location of the center of Tropical Storm Emily I would not trust any models at this time. The models for this storm are in disagreement as far as the intensity, location and survival of Emily.
The center fix from recon was SE of where they thought it was (which puts it pretty much directly under the CDO), so that will affect the next model runs and also pretty much makes the previous runs irrelevant at this point. It will be interesting to see what the 12Z runs look like.
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Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean