JMII
(Weather Master)
Tue Aug 02 2011 10:59 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean

Let's not forget that down the road Emily has to cross a pretty mountainous chunk of land so she might not make it at all. There is also a large area of dry air to the NW of Emily's currently location. Oddly historical data suggests a more westerly path putting her in the GOM. She is looking better with a CDO and some outflow, at one point yesterday it looked like she was going to fall completely apart. Now a more westerly path will allowing for strengthening where the current forecast path of NW (becoming NNW over time) looks to keep her weak. 11AM update indicates she is reorganizing but stalled right now.


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