tpratch
(Moderator)
Tue Aug 02 2011 11:36 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean

Models that don't have solid (recon dropsonde) data upon initialization generally do poorly with storm forecasting.

As the recons occur, and data becomes more frequent, the models generally do a much better job.

Give them time - it's not as simple as looking at satellite images and saying "oh yeah, it's going to do this".