scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Tue Aug 02 2011 12:19 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean

Not making a forecast here.. just a statement.. but if this gets past 72deg W when making landfall.. it could be a determining factor of how much it holds together. I feel it if makes landfall around 70-71W (aka GFS12z run) it will go over the highest mountains of Hispaniola and weaken the system more to then push more Westerly over more landmass compared to it holding together more as the GFS indicates. Further west like past 72W will interact with less land and be just NE of CUBA Thurs evening and making its way WNW more so.