The latest round of Recon reports have been a bit south and west of the forecast model and track positions, so it appears a slight adjustment westward will occur at 11 (although not as much as you may expect).

Today is a key day for determining the future of Emily because, how and what direction, it starts turning north determines how much it will be affected by Hispaniola, and the eventual track. Because today is a key day, this is where most of the wobble watching occurs (Ie, north... no west.. no south...). Load up the recon maps (link under "More Recon", and compare it to the model and forecast track if you want to join in on that. In the past it's usually still been ultimately along the NHC cone.

Ie, what heading does Emily need to hit/miss Hispaniola, with the latest recon fix Emily is between 290-300.

The official NHC forecast gets updated at 11AM, 5PM, and 11PM EDT, for the times to check back.