This system is pretty much like all of the other ones this season - very complex. That LLC continues to head due west early this afternoon. I have been looking over the data, and in my opinion, it looks like if TS Emily continues westward, she may miss the more intense shear. Shear is forecast to slightly increase over the next 12-24 hours ahead of her, but it she continues westward the most intense shear could very well lie to her north and east. Very interesting system. I say that the NHC will have to shift her track westward once again with the 4:00 PM update.